منابع مشابه
The Price of Oil Risk
We solve a Pareto risk-sharing problem with heterogeneous agents with recursive utility over multiple goods. We use this optimal consumption allocation to derive a pricing kernel and the price of oil and related futures contracts. This gives us insight into the dynamics of risk premia in commodity markets for oil. As an example, in a calibrated version of our model we show how rising oil prices...
متن کاملOil Price Uncertainty in the Iranian Economy
T he relationship between the price of oil and the level of economic activity is a fundamental empirical issue in macroeconomics. In this research, by using a multivariate GARCH-in-Mean VAR, we try to investigate direct effects of uncertainty of oil price on macroeconomics of Iran by using annually data from 1965 to 2013.Results show that uncertainty about oil prices had a negative a...
متن کاملCrude Oil Price Determinants
Based on monthly observations, I specify an econometric model capturing the driving forces behind the crude oil price series in recent years. A large set of covariates, such as supply and demand variables as well as futures market variables, is used to test the impact on the crude oil price. Current price movements are a result of scarce refining capacity and speculators betting on higher price...
متن کاملEvaluate the Fundamental Factors on the World Oil Price
Fluctuations in crude oil prices are among the factors affecting other economic indicators, and therefore these fluctuations have always been of interest to economists. In this paper, the effect of fundamental market factors (supply and demand of crude oil) on changes in world oil prices is addressed and supply and demand elasticity are estimated using the simultaneous equations system consider...
متن کامل11001 - 4 - The Price of Oil Roberto
A number of reasons have motivated our choice of oil, along with its past and expected future price evolution, as the subject in focus for the present book. A fi rst reason is the importance of oil in the world economy. In the early 2010s, the annual production value of this commodity, when measured at international prices, could be assessed at between $3500 and $4000 billion. World oil exports...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Science
سال: 1980
ISSN: 0036-8075,1095-9203
DOI: 10.1126/science.207.4434.937